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Should We be Concerned about Cooper Flagg?: Why His Slow Start Means Little in the Long Run

November 12, 2025

Should We be Concerned about Cooper Flagg?: Why His Slow Start Means Little in the Long Run

Cooper Flagg, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NBA Draft, has faced a challenging introduction to professional basketball. After a stellar college career at Duke, where he was named National College Player of the Year and dominated NCAA competition, Flagg's early NBA performances with the Dallas Mavericks haven't quite matched the stratospheric expectations placed upon him. But should fans be concerned, or is this simply part of the natural growth process for even the most talented prospects?

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The Numbers Behind the Narrative

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Mavericks Rookie Cooper Flagg

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Through the first eight games of his NBA career, Flagg's statistics tell a story of adjustment rather than dominance:

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StatisticValueNBA Rookie Rank
Points per game14.43rd
Rebounds per game6.64th
Assists per game2.85th
FG%39.4%12th (among rookies with 20+ MPG)
3P%28.1%14th (among rookies with 2+ attempts/game)
Minutes per game31.32nd
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While these numbers don't scream "generational talent," they're far from disastrous for a rookie—especially one who's playing significant minutes on a struggling team. What's more telling is the context surrounding these statistics.

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The Positional Experiment

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One of the most significant factors in Flagg's early adjustment period is his position. At Duke, Flagg primarily played as a forward, using his 6'9" frame to dominate in the frontcourt while occasionally showcasing his perimeter skills. In Dallas, however, head coach Jason Kidd has been using Flagg extensively as a point guard—a dramatic shift for the 18-year-old.

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This experiment is partly due to necessity. With Kyrie Irving sidelined by injury and the team trading away Luka Doncic last season, the Mavericks lack experienced ball handlers. As a result, Flagg has been thrust into playmaking responsibilities that ask significantly more of him than his college role.

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Golden State Warriors forward Draymond Green recently pointed out this challenge: "It's not that I don't think Cooper Flagg's going to be great. I think Cooper Flagg's going to be incredible. But we're asking a rookie, who's not a point guard, to be a great point guard. And that's just not how this works."

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Historical Context: Slow Starts for Future Superstars

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Flagg's situation isn't without precedent. Many future NBA legends struggled during their initial transition to the league. Here are a few notable examples:

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PlayerRookie Season StatsCareer Achievements
Kevin Durant20.3 PPG, 43.0 FG%, 28.8 3P%2x Champion, MVP, 13× All-Star
Dirk Nowitzki8.2 PPG, 40.5 FG%, 20.6 3P%Champion, MVP, 14× All-Star
Kobe Bryant7.6 PPG, 41.7 FG%, 37.5 3P%5× Champion, MVP, 18× All-Star
Giannis Antetokounmpo6.8 PPG, 41.4 FG%, 34.7 3P%2x MVP, Champion, 8× All-Star
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What these numbers illustrate is that a player's rookie performance—particularly their efficiency—is often a poor predictor of their ultimate ceiling. Even Kevin Durant, widely regarded as one of the greatest scorers in basketball history, shot below 44% from the field and under 30% from three-point range as a rookie.

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The Team Context

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Cooper Flagg and Jason Kidd

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It's also important to acknowledge that Flagg has joined a Mavericks team in transition. After trading superstar Luka Doncic to the Lakers for Anthony Davis last season, Dallas is still finding its identity. The team has started the season 2-6, with key players Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving both missing time due to injuries.

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This challenging environment would test any rookie, let alone one carrying the expectations of a No. 1 overall pick. The Mavericks' offensive struggles go beyond Flagg—the team currently has the worst relative offensive rating in the NBA.

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Flashes of Brilliance

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Despite these challenges, Flagg has shown glimpses of the talent that made him such a coveted prospect. In a recent game against the New Orleans Pelicans, he recorded 20 points, 9 rebounds, 3 steals, and 2 blocks—a stat line that showcases his two-way potential.

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These performances indicate that Flagg's foundational skills remain intact. His defensive versatility, court vision, and ability to impact multiple facets of the game were all on display during his standout college career, and they're beginning to translate to the NBA level, albeit inconsistently.

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Development Trajectory: What History Tells Us

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When evaluating Flagg's start, it's worth considering the typical development curve for highly drafted forwards. Most take at least 2-3 seasons to reach their potential, with significant improvements often occurring between their rookie and sophomore campaigns.

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What's particularly encouraging about Flagg's situation is his age. At just 18 years old, he's one of the youngest players in the league. When the Dallas Mavericks selected him, he became the second-youngest No. 1 pick in draft history, just eight days older than LeBron James was when drafted in 2003.

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This youth gives Flagg a substantial runway for development. NBA players typically reach their prime between ages 25-29, giving Flagg 7-10 years of physical and skill development before he's likely to peak.

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The Mental Game: Handling Adversity

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Flagg recently acknowledged that this losing stretch has been difficult for him. "For me, it's the most I've lost since, I think ever," he told reporters after the Mavericks' loss to the Pelicans. "I know it's not fun to just keep losing games."

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This admission speaks to the mental adjustment required when transitioning from being a dominant college player to a developing professional. At Duke, Flagg was the unquestioned star of a successful program. In Dallas, he's learning to navigate the humbling experience of regular losses and personal struggles.

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However, his response to these challenges suggests resilience. When asked about concerns regarding his play, Flagg displayed confidence: "It's a tough league. It's a transition. Obviously, I haven't made a lot of shots or been as efficient as I would've wanted to, but I'm gonna just keep trusting the work. It's nothing, I think, they should be worried about. I'm not worried about anything."

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Expert Opinions Remain Positive

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Despite the slow start, basketball analysts and former players remain high on Flagg's potential. Houston Rockets forward Kevin Durant, himself a former No. 1 pick, recently expressed tremendous confidence in Flagg's future: "I think that he's going to be a hell of a player. I think that he's going to be such a nightmare… that… he'll be considered one of the best of all time."

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Even those noting his current struggles, like Bleacher Report's Greg Swartz who recently gave Flagg a "B-" grade for his rookie performance so far, acknowledge that there's "enough flashes to avoid any sort of panic to this point."

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The Path Forward

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As the season progresses, there are several factors that could accelerate Flagg's development:

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  1. Return to natural position: When Kyrie Irving returns from injury, Flagg should be able to shift back to his more natural forward position, allowing him to focus less on playmaking and more on scoring and defense.
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  3. Shooting improvement: Flagg shot 48.1% from the field and 38.5% from three-point range during his lone season at Duke. As he adjusts to NBA-distance three-pointers and the faster pace of play, his shooting percentages should improve.
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  5. Team chemistry: As the Mavericks' rotation stabilizes and Flagg develops chemistry with veterans like Davis and Irving, his efficiency and comfort level should increase.
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  7. Physical development: At 18, Flagg's body is still developing. NBA strength and conditioning programs typically help young players add muscle and improve their durability over their first few seasons.
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Conclusion

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Cooper Flagg's start to his NBA career may not match the otherworldly expectations placed upon him as the No. 1 pick, but there's little reason for long-term concern. His statistical profile is solid for a rookie, especially considering his positional adjustment and team context. Historical parallels suggest that many future superstars experienced similar growing pains during their first NBA seasons.

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For Mavericks fans and basketball enthusiasts who have followed Flagg's journey from high school phenom to college star to NBA rookie, patience is warranted. The skills, work ethic, and basketball IQ that made him such a coveted prospect haven't disappeared—they're simply being refined against the world's best competition.

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In the fast-paced world of sports media and instant analysis, it's easy to forget that player development is rarely linear. Cooper Flagg may be experiencing a slow start by the lofty standards set for him, but his trajectory remains pointed toward stardom. The 82-game NBA season is a marathon, not a sprint—and Flagg's career will likely be measured in decades, not months.

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