Riley O'Brien, College of Idaho's Man on the Hot Seat
For College of Idaho alum Riley O'Brien, the final weeks of the 2026 MLB season have become a referendum on whether he belongs in the Cardinals' ninth inning — or anywhere near it.
The righthander has been St. Louis's closer by title, if not always by performance. Across three appearances this week (Sept. 14–19), O'Brien posted a 4.14 ERA, a number that tells only part of the story. He struck out two in a clean inning against San Francisco on Monday, giving a glimpse of the pitcher the Cardinals believed they were getting. But Wednesday against the Giants, he surrendered an earned run in a 5-6 loss — a blow that only deepened the scrutiny around a bullpen already coming apart at the seams. Saturday's outing against Washington (two strikeouts, no runs allowed in a 5-8 loss) was cleaner, though the team's deficit made the stakes largely academic.
The broader narrative has been harder to manage than any individual outing. According to Sports Illustrated, the Cardinals have reached what's being described internally as a "breaking point" with O'Brien, as St. Louis's late-inning woes have compounded down the stretch. The bullpen's collective failures have made O'Brien a lightning rod — the most visible symbol of a closing situation that has repeatedly cost the Cardinals games when they could least afford it.
And yet, manager Oli Marmol hasn't pulled the plug. Despite mounting pressure from fans and questions about whether the College of Idaho product can hold the role into the postseason picture, Marmol has publicly stood by O'Brien — a vote of confidence that feels increasingly load-bearing the longer the struggles continue. Sports Illustrated has also made the case that it may be premature to abandon O'Brien entirely, pointing to stretches of his season that suggest the underlying stuff is still there.
The tension is real: O'Brien's ERA sits above 4.00 in the season's most critical stretch, a figure that would make most closers uncomfortable. But flashes of dominance — multiple two-strikeout innings this week alone — keep the flame of belief alive. For a Cardinals organization that has invested in O'Brien's development, the calculus isn't purely statistical. It's also about whether there's time left to course-correct.
For College of Idaho fans, the situation is equal parts pride and anxiety. O'Brien remains one of the program's most prominent MLB representatives, a small-school product competing on the sport's biggest stage. How he finishes the next two weeks will go a long way toward defining not just his 2026 season, but his future in St. Louis — and perhaps his future as a closer at all.
The Cardinals don't have many opportunities left. Neither does O'Brien.
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